Rest will be under comments.
FW: CIA head of analysis fired
Date 2004-12-29 16:54:06
I wanted to forward these comments from George to the entire team so that
everyone at Stratfor is aware of the incredible opportunity/challenge we are
From: George Friedman [mailto:firstname.lastname@example.org]
Sent: Wednesday, December 29, 2004 9:13 AM
To: email@example.com; firstname.lastname@example.org
Subject: CIA head of analysis fired
Jamie Miscik, Deputy Director of Intelligence at the CIA was fired today. As
DDI, she ran the analytic shop. According to media reports, she was fired
for squandering resources on day to day reports while ignoring the broad
trends. In other words, she was fired for looking at the trees and being
unable to see the forest. She was also accused of spending too much time
updating policy makers and too little time trying to grasp the broad
trends–giving customers what they wanted instead of what they needed. In
the end, it was her customers that turned on her.
My charge against her was and remains that she took no pride in her craft
and turned intelligence into PR and shoddy process. She and her gang are now
This gives Stratfor an enormous, historic opportunity. The CIA model of
analysis has been invalidated. The ponderous, process driven machine that
could only manage the small things now needs to be replaced by a robust,
visionary, courageous analytic system. Stratfor has the opportunity to show
the way. In fact, we are showing the way. Everyone in Langley knows that we
do things they have never been able to do with a small fraction of their
resources. They have always asked how we did it. We can now show them and
maybe they can learn.
Our annual and decade forecast will, I guarantee you, be read by everyone at
the CIA. They are looking for new models and they are looking at us. Every
ounce of excellence that Stratfor owns will go into those two pieces. This
will not only be good business, it will serve our country. They will be a
road map to the craft of intelligence.
Allan Dulles said that intelligence was a craft. It is not a mass production
line. The architects of misbegotten process in intelligence have failed and
are out. It is our chance to step to the plate. It’s a rare moment and I
want everyone in intelligence to take a break from working to think, dream
and imagine. This is our chance to do it right.
It is Stratfor’s chance to make intelligence history and build a major
business at the same time. It is a moment I have been waiting for–and knew
was coming–since 1996, when George Tenet was appointed DCI and Stratfor was
founded. I, for one, am going to show them how it’s done. I invite each of
you to join me. This, ladies and gentlemen, is it.